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Banks and small businesses: For want of a loan | The Economist

Is it a lack of supply (of small business loans) or a lack of demand?
In a recent article, The Economist magazine opines that although lack of access to credit inflicted huge damage on small
businesses last autumn, lending (or lack of it) has not been the main
problem for most of 2009. Rather, it was the weak economy that
devastated profits and loan demand (see chart). 

SBADemandSupply.gif
I keep reading in the press that banks have not tightened their underwriting standards for C&I loans. But most of the lenders in my training on ‘Tax Return Analysis in a Tough Lending Environment’ tell me it definitely is harder to get a loan approved.
 
According to the SBA, senior loan officers reported a tightening of small business lending standards from 2006 through late 2008. It has been easing but as you can see, during that same time the demand for small business loans was dropping. ,

Even if the standards were the same, the economic downturn has caused enough damage that small businesses who would have qualified in 2007 may not in 2009…and perhaps will not until 2011 because of the industry practice (understandably so) of using recent historical performance to predict future performance.

The Improving Economy will drive Loan Demand
…at least of the loans you want to make; to strong businesses with adequate revenues, profits and capital.

About the Author
Linda Keith CPA is an expert in credit risk readiness and credit analysis. She trains banks and credit unions throughout the United States, both in-house and in open-enrollment sessions, on Tax Return and Financial Statement Analysis. She is in the trenches with lenders, analysts and underwriters helping them say "yes" to good loans. Creator of the Tax Return Analysis Virtual Classroom at www.LendersOnlineTraining.com, she speaks at banking associations on risk management, lending and director finance topics.